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No. 170248
>>170244 This year is going to see a level of upset in the video game market not seen since Sega stopped hardware and the XBox came out; maybe even as great as the Crash of '83 (though not with the same results.) Not only are we going to get the complete start of the next generation for consoles with the release of PS4 and 720(?) (potentially; nothing is announced, but I'd be surprised if they didn't hit this year to try and steal more thunder from Nintendo,) but we are going to have a surge of gaming on Linux thanks to Steam (now I actually have a reason to install Ubuntu!), the Steambox (whatever its final name is) and the Ouya. There are also small blips like the Wikipad, Razer Switchblade, and Project Shield (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Handheld_game_console#Razer_Switchblade), but I don't think those will take off that hard. In addition, the microgaming that people got from the Wii (putting in 10-15 minutes of Wii Sports or Mario Kart here or there) is now completely replaced by the smartphone, which has the bonus of being portable (and, you know, a phone.)
It's going to be a big toss-up, especially if Microsoft and Sony can't offer anything big over their current consoles, so I'm really excited to see what happens this year; I think it's going to be a win for the gamer, in the end.
(Speaking of cellphones, if Valve really wants to dominate, they should extend their Steam app to include a bunch of phone games, offering all the amenities of Steam for those. Do leaderboards, achievements, etc., and you can suck in a huge amount of casuals.)
>>170245 (Whoops, I made a goof; the difference between 1st Jan PS3 and WiiU sales was 120K, not ~20K.) Except that, as far as I understand, it's generally agreed that the PS3 bombed its first year. Sales picked up after some price cuts and no games came out, but even the 360 was beating it fairly well at the time (360 sold 500K units both its 1st Jan, when it had no next-gen competition, and its 2nd Jan, which was PS3's 1st Jan (at 380K units, for reference,) having been out a year already.
The high PS3 sales were probably due to Sony's near-monopoly of the market with the PS2; by that same factor, the Wii had complete domination in hardware sales (but not game sales, if you take out the pack-ins) last generation and should have been able to ride that for middling sales like Sony did for the PS2->PS3. But it didn't, at least not as much.
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